Independent Intelligence Analysis
Geopolitics. Defence. Intelligence.
Open source intelligence for a complex world.
Intelligence Analysis and Products
Structured analysis, dossiers and technical infographics covering defence, security and geopolitical developments.
Infographics
Visual intelligence products focused on military systems, technologies and capabilities.
Special Analytical Series
Thematic analytical series examining military, intelligence and strategic issues through coordinated multi-part studies.
Latest Intelligence Products
Recent assessments, dossiers and visual intelligence products covering current military, strategic, technical and security developments.
-
Ukraine’s Deep-Strike Campaign and the Limits of Strategic Autonomy
An assessment of Ukraine’s operational autonomy in deep strike and the external intelligence, weapons, industrial…
-
The Privatized Kill Chain: Who Controls Military C2?
An assessment of commercial space, satellite communications and digital infrastructure as military enablers and dependencies,…
-
Pakistan Air Force
A public-source profile of Pakistan’s Air Force, covering combat aviation, air defence, training, airlift, and…
-
Drones and Autonomous Systems
This Special Analysis examines how uncrewed aerial systems extend sensing, target acquisition, strike and support…
Regional Crisis Watch
| Area | Level | Trend | Short rationale | Updated | What changed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RussiaEastern Europe | Critical | ↑ Worsening— | Russian strikes hit energy facilities in Kyiv on 14 October and caused disruption, underscoring the continued use of attacks on critical infrastructure. Details of damage and operational effects remain subject to reporting verification. Critical Crisis and Worsening are retained. | Updated today | Previous level: Tension Previous trend: → Stable Russian strikes hit energy facilities in Kyiv on 14 October, causing disruption. |
| UkraineEastern Europe | Critical | ↑ Worsening— | Russian strikes hit energy facilities in Kyiv on 14 October and caused disruption, reinforcing the sustained threat to critical infrastructure and civilians. Critical Crisis and Worsening are retained. | Updated today | Previous level: Elevated Crisis Previous trend: Russia continues mixed long-range strike activity involving ballistic missiles and high-speed jet-powered UAVs, compressing Ukrainian air-defence engagement timelines and increasing pressure on scarce high-end interceptors. Russian strikes hit Kyiv energy facilities on 14 October, causing disruption. |
| IranMiddle East | Critical | ↑ Worsening— | Maritime attacks in and near the Strait of Hormuz have intensified. On 14 October, a container ship and a dry bulk carrier were reported sunk after separate projectile strikes; attribution of individual incidents remains subject to verification. Critical Crisis and Worsening are retained. | Updated today | Previous level: Elevated Crisis Previous trend: → Stable 14 October: two commercial vessels were reported sunk after separate projectile strikes near the Strait of Hormuz; responsibility for the incidents remains unconfirmed. |
Last full review:
INTELLIGENCE WORLD / CRISIS MONITOR
Global Intelligence Map
Loading country coverage…
Who We Are and What We Do
Independent analysis on intelligence, defence, security and strategic affairs, combining professional expertise, multisource research and structured analytical methods.
Latest Intelligence News
Intelligence World at a Glance
Current coverage and published intelligence products.